Prediction Inefficiencies

“The markets are inefficient most of the time, but that’s what makes them so interesting.” - Robert Shiller

Prediction markets promise collective intelligence, but in practice they are far from perfect. Prices often lag behind real-world information, liquidity is fragmented, and traders act irrationally. These inefficiencies create distortions - small gaps between what the market should reflect and what it actually does.

For most participants, inefficiencies look like noise. For Δelta, they are the foundation of an edge. By systematically identifying and exploiting these gaps, Δelta turns market inefficiency into structured opportunity.

The core thesis is simple: markets are never fully efficient, and inefficiency means profit potential

Δelta mission is to harness these inefficiencies, train an agent to act on them with discipline, and make prediction markets more transparent and navigable for traders.